Blue skies and mountains 061319

Friday's weather will be very much like Tuesday's, with cool breezes and clear skies. This photo was taken at Poor Mountain Natural Area Preserve on Tuesday.

Eleven of the last 15 Fridays have had measurable precipitation in the Roanoke area -- 13 of the last 15 if you count a "trace" of rain. This Friday will break the mold, and not only be dry, but sunny and rather cool. 

There may be a few more scattered showers and storms on this Thursday afternoon as the cold front presses into sunshine-driven warmth and at least some available moisture. The better chance of stronger storms will be north of I-64, especially toward NoVa, D.C. and the Delmarva, where there will be more wind dynamics aloft, but a stray strong to locally severe storm cannot be ruled out down this way. Many locations in our region probably won't even see rain or hear thunder.

Once the front goes by, Friday will essentially be a repeat of Tuesday, with widespread mid 40s to lower 50s lows across our region, highs mostly in the lower to mid 70s, cool northwest breezes, a blue sky and bright sunshine. It will be the antithesis of the soggy Fridays we have gotten used to in 2019.

Saturday will follow suit with more cool morning lows, generally upper 40s to mid 50s, more sunshine, and rain. Temperatures will warm up, with the Roanoke area and points south and east likely topping 80, and mid-upper 70s common to the west. Sunday won't be terrible either, though a bit warmer and more humid, and some scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms -- not all-day washout rains, but just something to keep in mind and keep an eye on if you have outdoor activities planned on Father's Day.

Looking ahead, we are likely to get in a showery mode in the early to mid part of the coming week, as slow moving frontal boundaries interact with sticky warmth. If we are going to pull a 90-degree day out in the near future, it would be Monday -- most likely it stays in the 80s. Eventually a cold front will push through to bring us a respite from the sticky warmth and showers again. While locally heavy downpours are certainly possible in some thunderstorms in the coming week, this does not look like the multi-day soaker of last weekend.

Way down the road, high pressure may try to rebuild over the Southeast late in June, possibly bringing some hotter weather to end the month, but that's a long way away for much detail.

In the meantime, enjoy a couple of really nice and not-hot mid-June days, before scattered showers and storms return.

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Contact Kevin Myatt at kevin.myatt@roanoke.com. Follow him on Twitter @kevinmyattwx.

 

Since 2003, Kevin Myatt has penned the weekly Weather Journal column, and since 2006, the Weather Journal blog, which becomes particularly busy with snow. Kevin has edited a book on hurricanes and has helped lead Virginia Tech students on storm chases.

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