Roanoke Times: Weather Journal

Weather Journal


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Friday 10/09/2015
Updated: October 09, 2015 - 5:58 pm
Squall line entering Va., poses threat to Friday PM games

UPDATE 5:55 PM: The line of storms is beginning to enter western Virginia and will likely be in the Blacksburg-Christiansburg area between 7 and 7:30 p.m. (beware all fans arriving for Virginia Tec...

Thursday 10/08/2015
Posted: October 08, 2015 - 12:30 am
Thunderstorms possible Friday PM

We are back to what could be considered a more typical October weather regime for our region, with storm systems moving generally west to east -- not watching rain back up from the west off the Atl...

Sunday 10/04/2015
Posted: October 04, 2015 - 9:30 pm
Our wet pattern is ENDING

It is quite remarkable that a weekend with more than 2 inches of rain in Roanoke, capping an 11-day period when some locations south along the Blue Ridge have totaled 18 or more inches, could be co...

Saturday 10/03/2015
Updated: October 04, 2015 - 1:29 pm
It hasn't stopped being WET in SW Va; epic flooding in S.C.

UPDATE 1:15 PM, 10/4: The Roanoke River briefly went barely above flood stage at the Salem Pump Station this morning. The rain has been mostly light to moderate, but has dumped 2 to 4 inches -- the...

Posted: October 03, 2015 - 10:00 am
Extremely heavy rain in Carolinas, but Roanoke/New River valleys come out extremely well

The radar precipitation estimation map above for the past 24 hours tells the story. It's not perfect: It's actually rained a lot more in Roanoke than shown, the radar hasn't captured a lot of the l...

Friday 10/02/2015
Updated: October 03, 2015 - 12:08 am
Roanoke area catches another break, but still some potential for heavy rain overnight, Saturday

UPDATE 11:45 PM, 10/2: The Roanoke area has caught a number of atmospheric breaks today at staving off a flood, the latest being that dry air aloft has helped erode a band of heavier rain that had ...

Thursday 10/01/2015
Updated: October 02, 2015 - 9:18 am
Heavier rain expected mid-afternoon to early Saturday; flooding likely

UPDATE 9AM, 10/2: Southwest Virginia is in the mostly light, patchy periphery of the rain mass this morning, with the greatest concentration along the Blue Ridge and into the Roanoke Valley, where ...

Wednesday 09/30/2015
Updated: October 01, 2015 - 9:22 am
Seriously inclement weather brewing for weekend

If there were no Hurricane Joaquin right now, we'd be gearing up for a multiple-day, multiple-inch rainfall event, nonetheless,

Updated: September 30, 2015 - 8:08 am
A look back at Tuesday's deluge ... and a look ahead at possible weekend deluge

September has officially gone from drought to deluge.

Tuesday 09/29/2015
Updated: September 29, 2015 - 8:30 pm
Roanoke River rising out of banks; rain has lulled, but flash flood watch continues

UPDATE 8:20 PM, 9/29: Showers will be scattered the remainder of the evening and overnight, with widespread or long-lasting heavy rain unlikely. The Roanoke River has finally begun to recede upstre...

Monday 09/28/2015
Posted: September 28, 2015 - 12:30 am
Tropical-influenced rainy periods continue this week

So we were talking about drought last week ... but we probably won't be for a while.  The weekend rain event dumped 2-5 inches from Friday to Sunday in much of the Roanoke and New River valleys (3....

Sunday 09/27/2015
Updated: September 27, 2015 - 4:42 pm
Rain continues Sunday, and off and on in week ahead

UPDATE 4:40 P.M.: Sunday turned into a much more robust rainfall day than expected for many, with over 2 inches in Roanoke to bring the total to about 3 3/4 inches. The heavy regenerating band has ...

Saturday 09/26/2015
Posted: September 26, 2015 - 12:30 am
After slow start, abundant rain still likely

The much-discussed weekend rain event stumbled out of the gate on Friday, barely wetting the surface in much of the Roanoke and New River valleys with drizzle and weak showers. Rain was much greate...

Friday 09/25/2015
Updated: September 25, 2015 - 8:53 pm
Marathon of rain lasts to at least Sunday

UPDATE 8:50 PM, 9/25: We are off to a slow start for rain in much of Southwest Virginia, as some heavier rain bands this afternoon and evening have not materialized. There are several factors at wo...

Thursday 09/24/2015
Updated: September 24, 2015 - 6:08 pm
Rain almost certain Friday-Sunday, and it may be heavy

UPDATE 6 PM, 9/24: Heavy rainfall amounts exceeding 2 inches are looking more likely for Southwest Virgnia as the core of heaviest moisture flow has shifted northward on many models. We should begi...

Wednesday 09/23/2015
Posted: September 23, 2015 - 12:30 am
After a couple of dry days, subtropical low may bring more rain

High pressure to the north began to shove the early week's wet weather southward late Tuesday, as we saw some patches of sun by late afternoon. There will be more of that on Wednesday as dry air fi...

Tuesday 09/22/2015
Updated: September 22, 2015 - 9:13 am
Heaviest rain is past, but damp, cool weather continues into Tuesday

Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 1/2 inches were common in the Roanoke Valley, the adjacent Blue Ridge and the western Piedmont on Monday, with lesser amounts to the west. Roanoke officially measured 1.4...

Monday 09/21/2015
Updated: September 21, 2015 - 9:24 am
Cool, rainy Monday -- but rainy is welcome to many

It looks to be a rather dreary Monday in much of Southwest Virginia -- but dreary may be just what the doctor ordered for many areas that have been dry. A high to our north and low to the south wil...

Saturday 09/19/2015
Updated: September 19, 2015 - 8:28 pm
Warm, mostly dry weekend ... but maybe drought talk scaring up some rain for Monday?

This weekend should be another of many good ones for outdoor activities, with highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s and only a slight chance of showers by Sunday afternoon.

Friday 09/18/2015
Posted: September 18, 2015 - 10:45 am
Roanoke/New River valleys, most of Virginia officially in drought

The U.S. Drought Monitor formally recognized on Thursday what many of you have already been telling me -- it's dry. The monitor widely increased its yellow "abnormally dry" zone -- the lo...

Thursday 09/17/2015
Posted: September 17, 2015 - 12:41 am
A bit warmer headed into weekend, but continued mostly dry

Other than just gradually getting warmer, not a lot of change on tap in Southwest Virginia weather through the weekend. Which means some more pretty good outdoors time ahead.

Monday 09/14/2015
Posted: September 14, 2015 - 12:30 am
Placid, dry week ahead with cool mornings, gradually warming afternoons

If you wanted rain to ease growing dryness issues in many parts of Southwest Virginia, this weekend was quite the disappointment, as potential episodes of fairly widespread rain turned into very sp...

Friday 09/11/2015
Updated: September 12, 2015 - 12:04 am
Showers to dodge on Saturday, cool mornings early next week

UPDATE 12:05 AM, 9/13: A round of showers and a few storms is due on this Saturday, mainly in the morning to midday in Southwest Virginia, ahead of the cold front that will lead to cooler temperatu...

Thursday 09/10/2015
Posted: September 10, 2015 - 12:30 am
Deep jet stream dip will bring cooler temperatures, periods of rain into weekend

The jet stream is taking a big dip into the central and eastern U.S. the next few days. This is the kind of thing we'll see more often as we move through fall and winter, as the jet stream makes it...

Wednesday 09/09/2015
Posted: September 09, 2015 - 12:30 am
Fall flexes its muscle for a few days of wetter, cooler weather

It's probably premature to call the period of cooler, wetter weather ahead as the start of fall. It appears warm, dry high pressure will rebuild next week, bringing back at least summerish weather,...

Monday 09/07/2015
Posted: September 07, 2015 - 12:30 am
Labor Day looks A-OK; more summerlike weather into midweek

Meteorological summer ended with the start of September last week, but for many, Labor Day marks the end of summer, culturally. Whether it's cookouts or time at the lake or a big college football g...

Saturday 09/05/2015
Posted: September 05, 2015 - 12:30 am
Summer reaches late peak on Friday, but cooler days this weekend

Summer seemed to reach its 2015 peak in the Roanoke Valley on the fourth day of meteorological fall, a little more than two weeks before summer passes on the calendar.  Roanoke's high temperature v...

Friday 09/04/2015
Updated: September 04, 2015 - 6:35 pm
'Backdoor" cold front brings strong storms Friday, break in heat for weekend

UPDATE 6 PM, 9/5: Strong to severe storms have produced numerous reports of dime- to quarter-sized hail, some gusty winds leading to power outages, as well as frequent lighting and heavy rainfall i...

Wednesday 09/02/2015
Updated: September 03, 2015 - 12:07 am
More early September stale stickiness

UPDATE 12:05 AM, 9/3: The pattern is stagnant, and so am I right now. With nothing really new to add, I just tacked on the Inclement Conditions Index below the existing blog item. It hit 92 again i...

Monday 08/31/2015
Posted: August 31, 2015 - 12:30 am
Busy Pacific, (mostly) quiet Atlantic; summerlike warmth this week in Southwest Virginia

The tropical season is going right by the El Nino playbook so far. The Pacific Ocean, as shown above, is hopping with activity -- in fact, Sunday was the first day on record when there were three C...

Saturday 08/29/2015
Posted: August 29, 2015 - 10:00 am
Tropical Storm Erika dissipates; summerlike heat returning for SW Va in week ahead

Taking a hike through the 10,000-foot mountains of Hispaniola is almost never a winning proposition for a tropical system, especially one that is already struggling against El Nino-enhanced mid and...

Friday 08/28/2015
Updated: August 28, 2015 - 1:13 pm
Some more nice days ahead for SW Virginia, as Erika possibly moves toward Florida

UPDATE 1:10 PM, 8/28: Updated National Hurricane Center forecast track on Tropical Storm Erika above. The new forecast is farther west of previous ones, and keeps Erika a tropical storm into Florid...

Wednesday 08/26/2015
Posted: August 26, 2015 - 12:30 am
Is Erika a threat to the East Coast?

This is really a two-part question. (1) Will Erika strengthen to a hurricane and maintain that strength long enough to reach the East Coast? (2) Will Erika be steered into the East Coast?

Monday 08/24/2015
Updated: August 25, 2015 - 11:51 am
A hint of fall this week

It's beginning to look a lot like autumn.

Friday 08/21/2015
Updated: August 22, 2015 - 8:41 pm
Cooler, drier air pushes in for weekend, as Hurricane Danny spins far, far away in Atlantic

UPDATE 8:40 PM, 8/22: A few scattered showers and storms are possible in Southwest Virginia on Sunday afternoon and again Monday as moisture builds slightly ahead of the next cold front, that will ...

Thursday 08/20/2015
Posted: August 20, 2015 - 12:30 am
Another nice weekend ahead after scattered Thursday soakers

Weekends have generally turned out pretty good this summer.  The past five weekend have been mostly dry in Southwest Virginia -- a few typical scattered afternoon pop-up showers and storms on a cou...

Wednesday 08/19/2015
Posted: August 19, 2015 - 10:15 am
Danny, Godzilla, Bruce Lee and two more humid, showery days

The weather we had Tuesday -- sticky with scattered to numerous showers and storms, some with locally heavy downpours -- will be pretty much what we get today and Thursday as well. Some parts of Pa...

Tuesday 08/18/2015
Posted: August 18, 2015 - 12:30 am
Even more soupy and showery Tuesday/Wednesday

Southwest Virginia will be fully in the sauna through Thursday as rich Gulf of Mexico flow brings in thick humidity. This humidity will be squeezed out by a series of upper-level impulses, terrain ...

Monday 08/17/2015
Posted: August 17, 2015 - 12:30 am
Back at it ... and back to same old August weather

It's not often I lose track of the overall weather pattern for a few days, even on vacation, but I did during the past week away from the blog, as I was dealing with a family medical situation (whi...

Wednesday 08/12/2015
Posted: August 12, 2015 - 6:30 am
The dangers of a "below-normal" hurricane season

Today's Weather Journal column focuses on the El Nino-driven expectations of a below-normal hurricane season and how this may be part of why this could be an especially dangerous tropical season on...

Saturday 08/08/2015
Posted: August 08, 2015 - 12:30 am
Tilt to cooler than normal through mid-month as I take a blog break

Friday was a relatively cool day with highs on the south side of 80 because of a wedge of cool air from the northeast banking against the mountains. Saturday may start that way, too, but a generall...

Friday 08/07/2015
Posted: August 07, 2015 - 12:30 am
Spotty rainfall tops an inch for some, doesn't settle dust for others

The radar image at top shows where the heaviest rainfall occurred on Thursday evening, and that was mostly south of Roanoke, with the green areas denoting at least 1 inch as estimated by radar and ...

Thursday 08/06/2015
Updated: August 06, 2015 - 12:39 pm
Thursday PM likely brings rain, but weekend looking mostly dry

UPDATE 12:35 PM, 8/6: Looks like most of what rain occurs will fall this evening, though some showers and storms may develop this afternoon. The main system remains to our west, with additional ban...

Wednesday 08/05/2015
Posted: August 05, 2015 - 12:30 am
Perhaps some fairly widespread rain on Thursday

Although no part of Virginia was in official drought as of the last U.S. Drought Monitor, I'm hearing more and more reports at individual locations of dry grass or the need for rain for a garden. A...

Monday 08/03/2015
Posted: August 03, 2015 - 12:30 am
Typical early August weather this week: Hot with stickiness and scattered storms returning

Pretty typical early August weather on tap this week, as it gets a little hotter and more humid than the weekend with scattered showers and storms returning.

Sunday 08/02/2015
Posted: August 02, 2015 - 12:15 am
A dry 90 would still be hotter than almost all of last August

The sunny, dry and pretty hot weather we've had the last couple of days will continue Sunday and Monday. Dew points in the 50s on Saturday at times created outdoor conditions in which the heat inde...

Friday 07/31/2015
Posted: July 31, 2015 - 10:45 am
Dry weekend ahead ... and how a "cold" front caused Roanoke's hottest temperature of year

The cold front has passed and an overall nice, though a bit toasty, weekend is ahead. Dew points have dropped 10-15 degrees this morning into the upper 50 and low 60s, and light westerly to northwe...

Thursday 07/30/2015
Posted: July 30, 2015 - 12:30 am
A "dry front" will bring a change in the air for weekend

A cold front passing Thursday evening will be more of a "dry front" than a cold one, bringing much drier air into the region to turn the dial back on the muggy weather of recent days and ...

Wednesday 07/29/2015
Posted: July 29, 2015 - 12:30 am
Perhaps an escape from the "muggies" by the weekend

We'll continue to have a case of the "muggies" -- 80s to maybe low 90s highs with upper 60s-low 70s dew points, leading to scattered afternoon storms, some locally heavy -- through Thursd...

Monday 07/27/2015
Updated: July 28, 2015 - 9:30 am
Typical hot, humid summer weather through Thursday -- a few localized downpours

UPDATE 9:25 AM, 7/28: I only upgrade the Inclement Conditions Index when a number jumps 2 spots or more. I have just done that for heavy rain below -- increasing from 2 to 4 -- as the slow-moving n...

Kevin Myatt
  • Kevin Myatt
  • Kevin Myatt is The Roanoke Times' principal weather geek. He writes the Weather Journal column each Wednesday in The Roanoke Times and advises the newsroom on weather topics while also working on the copy desk. He helps lead Virginia Tech students on storm chases each May, has edited a book on hurricanes ("Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States," by Rick Schwartz) and comments on weather occasionally on WVTF (FM-89.1).
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