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Preston Bryant is a Republican who has represented Lynchburg and part of Amherst County in the Virginia House of Delgates since 1996.
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Election Day 2002 in Virginia was a showdown between those who wish they had the power to decide things and those who actually do.
In Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, well-heeled coalitions of business, civic, and political leaders worked for nearly eight months since the General Assembly adjourned in March to persuade voters to pull the lever for higher taxes to build billions of dollars worth of new roads, bridges and tunnels, and to make significant improvements to mass transit systems.
The ballot proposal in the D.C. suburbs was to raise that regions state sales tax by a half-cent; in Tidewater, a full penny.
The voters response? Stick it in your ear.
Tuesdays referendums in the two most populous and progressive parts of Virginia served as the greatest poll ever taken in the state on the question of higher taxes. It stretched across a number of demographic groups men and women; young and old; black, white, Asian, and Hispanic; urban, suburban, and even a tad rural and the 812,497 total respondents were surprisingly crystal clear.
In Northern Virginia, where the pinstriped coalition was thought to have the best chance of success, 55 percent voted no. But that 10-point defeat was nothing compared to the nearly 2-to-1 shellacking the tax-increase proponents took in Hampton Roads.
Keeping the big boys honest in both regions was a bunch of strange bedfellows. Anti-tax, grassroots conservatives (most always Republicans) found themselves collaborating with anti-growth, grassroots environmentalists (often Democrats) to organize the opposition. Add to their mix limited-income seniors who cant afford higher taxes and across-the-board government skeptics, and perhaps referendum proponents are now looking back and seeing how formidable their task really was.
There truly has been a lot of analyzing going on this past week, and those promoting the tax increases have been rather defensive. In every way imaginable theyve put the results under a microscope looking at certain bellwether precincts, going over exit polls, and wondering about the rainy weathers dampening effect on voter turnout to determine why people voted the way they did. And theyve explained away their defeat by blaming it on everything from the publics general distrust of government to the dysfunctional state transportation department to fears of sprawl to their opponents misinformation campaigns.
But there is, perhaps, a much simpler answer: Couldnt it be that Virginians just dont want their taxes raised?
After all, it was estimated that in Tidewater, where the proposal was to up the state sales tax from 4 ½ cents on the dollar to 5 ½ cents, the hike would have cost the average two-person household about $100 a year. Folks generally dont rush to the polls to throw another c-note at politicians and bureaucrats.
The silk-stocking coalitions pushing the referendums in the two regions privately raised and spent several million bucks to persuade the masses to give up more of their own hard-earned money. The Northern Virginia crowd promoting the tax increase reportedly outspent its ragtag opposition about 25 to 1; in Hampton Roads, it was, amazingly, something like 40 to 1.
The referendums were possible only because the General Assembly and the governor passed and enacted a law allowing them on the ballot. Giving the voters this kind of say is not Virginias usual way of deciding matters of public policy, big or small. And itll probably be quite some time before the legislature tries this trick again. Nobody likes to be smacked once, much less twice.
But it is good every now and then for the elected to be reminded that their power rests only in the consent of those they govern. Thats a Jeffersonian principle that reflects Rousseaus belief in a need for legislators to know the publics general will so that the majority can rule.
On Tuesday the governed certainly expressed themselves to their elected representatives loudly and clearly and there can be little doubt that the majority ruled in favor of no new taxes.
Your thoughts?
The Bryant Archive
Referendum on taxation
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Gilmore and Sullivan
Warner's judges
Eastern stars
The wreck of old No. 39
It'll be Goode in the Fifth
The Wilder gamble
The politics of water
On Labor Day, coal miners and being a Republican
Shadow responsibilities
A time for all Virginians to pull together
The people versus the powerful in Northern Virginia
A media double standard?
Warner's California Ways
Bill Howell: the Un-Wesson